I’m back. Tanned (sorta), rested (sorta) and ready (you bet). Today’s papers are abuzz with news that Colin Powell will be resigning at the end of President Bush’s first term. The departure is not as much of a surprise to me as is the time Powell chose to step down.
Last spring President Bush asked all of his cabinet officials and senior staff to step down this summer or pledge to remain with the administration through the election. Here’s an excerpt from a story that ran on CNN.com when Christine Whitman resigned as Director of EPA in May:
Cabinet officials and other senior staffers have been encouraged to leave by this summer if they do not wish to stay on through the 2004 campaign year so that Bush does not have to deal with high-level staff and agency appointments in the heat of an election season.
The officials cast Whitman’s decision in this light and noted she had always said she did not envision staying in Washington for too long.
White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer cited the coming campaign in his decision to resign effective this summer.
The President is right about this. Can you imagine how hot things would have gotten if Colin Powell resigned next summer? You’d have had a couple of of news cycles discussing what he did, and why he was resigning. Then you’d have had a couple more on how the search for a replacement was going. After that you’d have had a feeding frenzy over the named replacement, and then a whole bunch more news cycles on the confirmation process that the Democrats would surely try to bottle up in the Senate.
The bottom line is that the electorate would have been distracted from the President’s campaign message, and the Democrats would have had a chance to make an election issue out of a cabinet replacement. But, since Powell is waiting until after the election to leave his job, none of this will happen, right?
Wrong! I think that is is exactly why Powell is announcing now that he is resigning at the start of the next administration. While he appears to be playing the part of the good soldier and sticking it out for the rest of the first Bush administation, he is effectively quitting now and forcing the President into an awkward, extended search for a replacement.
Powell has been so marginalized by Donald Rumsfeld and Condoleeza Rice (who probably both want his job) that the only way he can exact a slight measure of revenge is to slowly quit. The Democrats will now have fifteen months to run against the President’s foreign policy record. And Powell can sit back and watch it all with a smile on his face.